Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.435576 0.495859 0.560210 0.633874 0.715722 0.803725 0.905354
2025-11-02 0.333311 0.414595 0.507912 0.622377 0.758367 0.914107 1.105262
2025-11-09 0.261339 0.353551 0.466873 0.614956 0.801773 1.027919 1.320473
2025-11-16 0.210034 0.307771 0.435812 0.613170 0.849384 1.149743 1.556549
2025-11-23 0.168685 0.267027 0.403974 0.604319 0.884812 1.257728 1.783946
2025-11-30 0.142303 0.241990 0.388801 0.614408 0.944566 1.400940 2.068115
2025-12-07 0.117092 0.213824 0.364345 0.606939 0.977259 1.508251 2.310488
2025-12-14 0.099577 0.194426 0.349760 0.611260 1.025928 1.640243 2.595710
2025-12-21 0.082768 0.172922 0.328317 0.601395 1.050761 1.737720 2.836146
2025-12-28 0.074205 0.164450 0.327014 0.623321 1.126330 1.915657 3.206909
2026-01-04 0.066682 0.156474 0.325217 0.643632 1.200197 2.095053 3.590127
2026-01-11 0.058133 0.144782 0.314882 0.647391 1.245969 2.232045 3.914357
2026-01-18 0.050323 0.133258 0.303476 0.648263 1.287441 2.365991 4.244251
2026-01-25 0.043552 0.122629 0.292245 0.647982 1.326486 2.498115 4.578840
2026-02-01 0.037762 0.113034 0.281655 0.647500 1.364692 2.630756 4.921456
2026-02-08 0.033060 0.105052 0.273244 0.650179 1.408553 2.775361 5.291719
2026-02-15 0.028385 0.096039 0.261150 0.643705 1.434001 2.888486 5.613438
2026-02-22 0.025556 0.091383 0.258260 0.656167 1.496960 3.072128 6.066999
2026-03-01 0.022006 0.083771 0.247171 0.649391 1.520670 3.184947 6.400329
2026-03-08 0.019548 0.078819 0.241813 0.654684 1.569063 3.345958 6.827713
2026-03-15 0.016728 0.071936 0.230417 0.644661 1.584450 3.444977 7.146361
2026-03-22 0.015618 0.070496 0.233141 0.668220 1.672820 3.688707 7.743469
2026-03-29 0.014528 0.068851 0.235060 0.689965 1.758689 3.931776 8.349778